Canada is taking more of its business elsewhere
Canadian aluminum exports to the US have continued to drop since the introduction of tariffs in March 2025, with a growing share shipping off to Europe and Mexico.
Canadian aluminum exports to the US have continued to drop since the introduction of tariffs in March 2025, with a growing share shipping off to Europe and Mexico.
Aluminum prices retreated as markets priced a return to Middle East stability, but shipping attacks, military strikes and LME indicators suggest that assumption may have outpaced events.
The recent retreat in aluminum prices has been a “head scratcher” as the Iran war continues to disrupt output from an important production region.
LME aluminum market participants broadly reduced long and short positions during June as prices retreated, although longer-term participation trends remained relatively unchanged.
LME aluminum prices, prompt premiums and the US Midwest Premium have moved lower in June, while exchange inventories continue to decline and remain near five-year lows.
SMU and AMU are pleased to announce that Wells Fargo Managing Director Timna Tanners will be joining us for a Community Chat webinar on Wednesday, June 24, at 11 am ET.
Commercial participation in LME aluminum declined over the past year even as prices increased, inventories tightened and financial market activity expanded.
The LME price for aluminum spiked at the start of the US/Israel war on Iran and has lately hovered around $3,400-$3,600 per ton, not yet breaching $4,000.
In the base metals markets, we had a mixed showing. Tin did best, adding almost 10% on the week on concern about lagging supply.
Hydro's Q1 results show higher prices supporting margins despite weaker North American demand and ongoing Middle East curtailments.