Week in review and thoughts for the week of Aug. 10, 2026
Outside of crude, most other commodity markets finished higher. In the base metals group, copper, zinc, and aluminum each added between 2% to 3%.
Outside of crude, most other commodity markets finished higher. In the base metals group, copper, zinc, and aluminum each added between 2% to 3%.
Markets remain transfixed on developments in the Middle East
Things took an ominous turn after President Trump announced he would order the US Navy to block any vessels entering or exiting the Gulf. We suspect we will see another sizable bounce in crude and a resumed slide in both precious metals and base metals as the two parties now potentially resort to replacing talks with missiles.
We had another very sloppy week in the US equity markets, although commodities fared better. All three major equity indices are now in correction territory (down 10% or more from their highs) on account of both the Iran war and the rising interest rates the conflict is generating.
Last week was one for the history books, particularly for those involved in trading precious metals in any way, shape, or form. After weeks and months of relentless price increases, the complex staged one of its most dramatic one day sell-offs on record.
We’re excited to announce that Edward Meir, a highly regarded commodities analyst, will be contributing to Aluminum Market Update (AMU) beginning in November.
Broadly speaking, the OECD is more positive on growth than what one might have thought.
Recent IEA data underscores an erratic electricity supply mix alongside sharply rising demand, with future prices signaling poor economics for operating an aluminum smelter and pointing instead to behind-the-meter generation backed by outside financing.
Looking at short line and regional movements as an indirect barometer of what's happening in aluminum rail movements.
We understand that Michigan legislators have reintroduced legislation to dramatically raise fees for disposal of solid waste. These fees, called “tipping fees” were amongst the lowest in the U.S. at just $0.36 per short ton. The proposed legislation would raise them to $5.00 per short ton and would be subject to reassessment every five years.