AMU survey: Supply concerns grow despite mixed lead times
AMU’s July survey showed selective lead-time pressure in sheet and billet while transportation-focused respondents expressed stronger concern about future supply.
AMU’s July survey showed selective lead-time pressure in sheet and billet while transportation-focused respondents expressed stronger concern about future supply.
Canadian aluminum exports to the US have continued to drop since the introduction of tariffs in March 2025, with a growing share shipping off to Europe and Mexico.
Government data show first-half automotive production remained concentrated in light trucks, while passenger car output, inventories and import flows followed a different path.
June survey responses showed scrap market participants becoming more cautious on premiums, scrap availability and exports, while downstream demand indicators remained comparatively firmer.
AMU's June survey showed weaker demand, fewer extending lead times and less inventory building, though respondents largely stopped short of forecasting an oversupplied market.
CRU's May outlook reduced 2026 growth expectations for several aluminum product categories, while its largest long-term forecast revision occurred in rolled products.
AMU's May aluminum market survey showed lengthier rolled product lead times coupled with shrinking extrusion and primary booking windows, though inventory building and forward demand sentiment remained cautious.
Demand totaled an estimated 26.65 billion pounds in 2025, a year marked by an ever-shifting tariff environment, the association said.
Construction indicators strengthened entering Q2, though most momentum was concentrated in data centers and infrastructure projects.
ACT Research and FTR Intelligence data showed Class 8 truck orders increased sharply in early 2026 even as trailer demand, OEM deliveries and manufacturer shipments remained weaker.